Indonesia, Tatanan Multipolar, dan Tarif 19%

Dalam beberapa dekade terakhir, sistem internasional mengalami perubahan fundamental. Amerika Serikat (AS) yang sejak berakhirnya Perang Dingin tampil sebagai satu-satunya negara adidaya, kini menghadapi tantangan dari kekuatan-kekuatan baru. Pertumbuhan ekonomi China yang sangat pesat, kebangkitan India dengan pasar domestik yang besar, serta keterlibatan Rusia dalam berbagai isu keamanan internasional menandai bergesernya pola distribusi kekuatan. Dunia […]

US-Indonesia trade compromise will test Prabowo’s mettle

On July 15, Indonesia and the United States reached a compromise: the threatened 32% tariff on Indonesian exports will now be capped at 19% in exchange for Indonesia’s commitment to purchase US energy, agricultural goods, and 50 Boeing aircraft. The deal also reportedly includes reciprocal tariff relief for American exports to Indonesia. The announcement, however, […]

Prabowo’s tightrope walk to 2029

Barely months into his presidency, Prabowo Subianto has swiftly consolidated power in Indonesia. His oversized cabinet filled with loyalists, a muted opposition and expansive welfare programs highlight his preference for centralised governance. While these moves project strength, they risk straining Indonesia’s fiscal health, testing the patience of a fragile party coalition, and alienating Indonesia’ digitally-savvy […]

Mengapa Clustering Penting dalam Analisis Data Survei?

Afrimadona Direktur Eksekutif Populi Center Pendahuluan: Apa Itu Survei dan Mengapa Kita Perlu Berhati-hati? Hampir setiap hari kita membaca hasil survei di media: “65% masyarakat puas dengan kinerja pemerintah,” “rata-rata pengeluaran rumah tangga Rp 4,5 juta per bulan,” atau “tingkat kepercayaan publik terhadap lembaga X menurun 12%.” Angka-angka ini terdengar pasti dan meyakinkan. Namun, di […]

Power Conflict

Sociologically, law has two faces at once. These two faces are always side by side, cannot be erased as sociological realities. First, the face of law that is not bound by space and time, is objective, namely a structure that controls every actor, is impartial, and realizes the public interest. Second, the face of law that is bound by space and time, is subjective, namely a structure that becomes […]

Media Release: Voice Competition Ahead Of The Central Java Regional Election

Populi Center, a non-profit research institution in the field of public policy and opinion, conducted a Survey of Voter Participation and Preferences Ahead of the Central Java Gubernatorial Election, from 17 to 22 November 2024. The sample of respondents was spread proportionally across 35 regencies/cities in Central Java. The purpose of this survey was to see the current competitive map among the candidates competing in the Central Java Gubernatorial Election […]

Media Release: Electoral Map Ahead Of Bojonegoro Regional Election

Populi Center, a non-profit research institution in the field of public policy and opinion, conducted a Voter Participation and Preference Survey Ahead of the Bojonegoro Pilbup, from November 6 to 12, 2024. The respondent sample was spread proportionally across 30 sub-districts. The purpose of this survey was to see the current competition map among the candidates competing in the Bojonegoro Pilbup as a reference for voters […]

Media Release: Central Sulawesi Gubernatorial Election Competition Map

Populi Center, a non-profit research institution in the field of public policy and opinion, conducted a Survey of Voter Participation and Preferences Ahead of the Central Sulawesi Gubernatorial Election, from June 24 to July 3, 2024. The sample of respondents was spread proportionally across 13 regencies/cities. The purpose of the survey was to see the current competitive map among the candidates who are said to be competing in the Central Sulawesi Gubernatorial Election […]

Media Release: 2024 Presidential Election Quick Count Results

The 2024 General Election (Pemilu) has ended. Populi Center as a non-profit institution for the study of public opinion and public policy, participated in organizing a quick count (QC) for the Presidential-Vice Presidential Election (Pilpres). The quick count was conducted at 2500 polling stations spread across 38 provinces in Indonesia. The vote counting process for the Presidential Election began at 13.00 in each […]

National Survey: Road to 2024 Elections: One-Round Election Chances

Populi Center, a non-profit public opinion and policy research institution, conducted a National Survey from January 27 to February 3, 2024. The respondent samples were proportionally spread across 38 provinces in Indonesia, including 4 (four) New Autonomous Regions in Papua. The data collection method in this survey was carried out through face-to-face interviews […]